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Tuesday, May 8, 2012

Hollande's election may spell unilateral strike on Iran




Analysts in Israel believe the election of Francois Hollande could weaken the country's position as it faces a nuclear threat from Iran.

Francois Hollande won the 2012 French Presidential elections defeating Nicolas Sarkozy by just over a million votes in an election that some view as a turn to the left for France. However, in Israel the election of the socialist Hollande is troubling in regard to future policy on Iran in western capitals.

DEBKAfile a Jerusalem based military intelligence website reports that Israel has loss a key ally in it's conflict with Iran, over it's nuclear program. Sarkozy was considered tougher on Iran by hawks in Israel then President Obama, discussing the matter more openly and conceding that the issue would have to be tackled by military action according to DEBKAfile.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has called for elections in the Jewish state just one year before they were scheduled to occur, according to the Boston Herald some believe that the Israeli prime minister is taking the unusual step to preempt any effort Obama could make to see Netanyahu defeated politically, if and when the U.S. President is re-elected. Netanyahu is popular with the Israeli public, and by dismantling his government now and holding elections most likely on September 4th he ensures that he will remain in office.

The question is will Netanyahu have western support if he decides his country must attack Iran's nuclear program?

France was key in overthrowing Muammar Qaddafi in Libya, with Sarkozy spending a million dollars in the NATO backed campaign according to DEBKAfile. However according to DEBKA's analysis the French could ill afford to get involved in the civil war in the northern African nation. This, and his strong support of the state of Israel could have been Sarkozy's undoing with France's Muslim and Leftist electorate, DEBKAfile reported.

The Jerusalem based website quoted Netanyahu in discussing Israel's early elections, as saying he didn't want "a year and a half of political instability accompanied by blackmail and populism". With Israeli polls stating Prime Minister Netanyahu is miles ahead of any possible contender ahead of elections for his third term, DEBKAfile reported the Israeli leader could decide that as international support for an Israeli attack on Iran erodes that the Jewish state may have to go it alone.

Read more: http://www.digitaljournal.com/article/324422#ixzz1uHocib5p



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