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Tuesday, July 28, 2015

China's "Manipulated" Market To Plunge Another 14%, DeMark Predicts


Image result for Tom DeMark

Anyone tempted to gamble on buying the proverbial dip in Chinese equities after Monday’s dramatic 8.5% sell-off probably shouldn’t, says Tom DeMark, who called a top and shortly thereafter, a bottom in the SHCOMP back in 2013. 
Even after Monday’s rout, the index could fall another 14% DeMark figures, noting that "you just cannot manipulate the market."
Actually, you certainly can manipulate the market, as the Fed and the HFT crowd have vividly demonstrated, although the Chinese experience is admittedly a bit different. As we’ve argued repeatedly, the retail investors who have at times accounted for over three quarters of daily volume in China have now adopted a "sell the rip" mentality after watching their life savings vaporized in the space of three short weeks, which means that Beijing’s plunge protection efforts are met everywhere and always with immediate selling pressure. 
But the failure to manipulate won’t be for lack of trying in China, and that means the dips are met with some manner of "good news", be it a statement of support, a ban on selling, fabricated GDP data, or outright central bank plunge protection. This simply won’t work, DeMark warns. "Markets bottom on bad news, not good news. You want to have the last seller sell. We got good news at the recent low. The rally is artificial."
Here’s more on DeMark’s take from Bloomberg:
Chinese stocks will decline by an additional 14 percent over the next three weeks as the market demonstrates a trading pattern that mirrors the U.S. crash in 1929, according to Tom DeMark.

The Shanghai Composite Index will sink to 3,200 after plunging 8.5 percent Monday to 3,725.56 in the worst selloff in eight years, DeMark, who predicted the gauge’s bottom in 2013, said on Monday. That would extend its decline since a June 12 peak to 38 percent. The index’s moves since March are tracking those of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1929 when the gauge lost as much as 48 percent, he said in a phone interview.

"The die has been cast," said DeMark, 68, the founder of DeMark Analytics in Scottsdale, Arizona, who has spent more than 40 years developing indicators to identify market turning points. "You just cannot manipulate the market. Fundamentals dictate markets."

DeMark said the euphoria and panic in the Chinese market resembled that in the U.S. market in the late 1920s. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed for five straight years in the run-up to the crash of 1929, adding more than 200 percent. It peaked in September 1929 before plummeting almost 50 percent in less than three months.

DeMark said he’ll reassess the market once the Shanghai index hits 3,200, which would almost wipe out this year’s gain. If that level, which is around the 61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement from the June peak, fails to hold, the market could "unravel" quickly, he said. 

While some investors are concerned that the benchmark has gotten unhinged from the real value of stocks due to government intervention, DeMark said his indicators work best to pick up buy and sell signals when the market is "manipulated." That is because intervention makes the imbalance in the supply and demand of stocks "more apparent" and easier to identify, he said.
The bottom line: don't go bargain shopping for stocks in China, because as we've been saying for at least four weeks, the extraordinary air of desperation surrounding Beijing's intervention efforts has served only to exacerbate the panic and although it's not wise to bet against a central bank, it might be even more dangerous to bet against millions of angry housewives determined to cash out.
Credit to Zero Hedge



The March Towards Civil War Is Rapidly Progressing

civil war1
On July 25, The Common Sense Show published an article which demonstrated how far the dissident roundup preparation plans have advanced. However, as tyranny marches forward, there appears to be a push back which could result in a military coup in order to unseat the traitor residing at 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.

Even local Officials Are Speaking Out Against the Tyranny of This Administration

In October of 2014, a county official in Missouri suggested that American troops should overthrow President Barack Obama.
Jefferson County Recorder of Deeds Debbie Dunnegan called President Barack Obama “our domestic enemy” and she even suggested the U.S. Constitution would give the U.S. military the authority to oust the president in a coup d’├ętat, the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reportedCertainly, the betrayal of the American people represents a foreign and domestic enemy. Perhaps Dunnegan is correct. 

One Military Coup Has Already Failed

The military has been under attack. Over 260 of the command structure of the American military have been fired by Obama. Except for the liberal sell-out of American sovereignty by American officers trying to advance their career on the backs of a globalist communist takeover of this country, most of the military leadership loathe this current President and would delight at the thought of removing him from office.
The opportunity to remove Obama nearly presented itself in September of 2012 with the murder of Ambassador Chris Stevens. It has been well-established and well-documented on The Common Sense Show, that Stevens had participated in the overthrow of the Libyan government through funds raised by drug dealing, arms peddling and child sex trafficking. Stevens, doubling as a CIA plant was fermenting a regime change in Libya and then Syria from funds raised from these nefarious activities. These funds were used to support our terrorist allies of al-Qaeda, the Muslim Brotherhood, the creation of ISIS and Hamas. These terrorists overthrew Libya and are working on Syria. However, word began to leak out about Stevens CIA activities and he had to be eliminated before he could become a campaign issue in the lead up to the 2012 election. I previously documented how Stevens was under attack and asking for military assistance.
As Ambassador Stevens was begging for help after the Benghazi attack had begun, General Hamm, the commander of AFRICOM had activated a special forces team within minutes of learning that the embassy, which was really a CIA safe house, was under attack.
The former commander of AFRICOM who tried to rescue Chris Stevens as part of a military coup to expose the administration's involvement in gun running to terrorist to promote regime change through drug and child sex trafficking.
The former commander of AFRICOM who tried to rescue Chris Stevens as part of a military coup to expose the administration’s involvement in gun running to terrorist to promote regime change through drug and child sex trafficking.
Admiral Gayouette provided surveillance for General Hamm's attempted rescue of Ambassador. He was discovered and arrested by his executive officer a CIA plant.
Admiral Gayouette provided surveillance for General Hamm’s attempted rescue of Ambassador. He was discovered and arrested by his executive officer a CIA plant.
When General Ham received his “stand down” orders from the Obama administration, he made plans to go ahead with the rescue anyway and was arrested within minutes by his second in command, General Rodriquez a CIA plant embedded into the command structure of AFRICOM.
Admiral Gayouette, the commander of Carrier Strike Group Three, was preparing to provide intelligence and  air cover for General Hamm’s rescue team in violation of his standing orders and he was promptly relieved of command for allegations of inappropriate leadership judgment.”
General Ham had been in command of the initial 2011 US-NATO military intervention in Libya. And as we can, in part, read from US military insider accounts of this growing internal conflict between the White House and US Military leaders. There is a to a growing body of evidence that the military is rebelling against this rogue President. This President is vulnerable for all the rogue operations that he has sanctioned, most notably the murder of Ambassador Stevens.
The actions of Hamm and Gayouette represented a coup of opportunity, not a coup of planning. If Stevens could have been rescued, he would surely know that he was sold out by Obama and he would sing like a canary about his activities on behalf of this President. The coup of opportunity nearly worked. Unfortunately, for the American people and the American military the plot failed.
It is abundantly clear that had Obama been concerned for saving the lives of the four murdered Americans, American forces could have stopped the mortar fire that eventually killed Ambassador Stevens. However, Panetta and Obama blocked any rescue attempt. In legal parlance, Obama, Panetta and Clinton are, at minimum, accomplices to murder. At maximum these three rogue government officials are co-conspirators to first degree murder and now they have sacked two senior command military leaders to cover their complicity in an act of treason. I feel like I am watching an episode of the former popular television show, 24, as we are presently engaged in a plot that scarcely anyone would have believed if it had aired on television and not occurred in real life.
Even though the corporate controlled media refuses to cover the events in Benghazi s they really transpired, Representative Buck McKeon wrote a letter to Obama in which he boldly stated  ”As we are painfully aware, despite the fact that the military had resources in the area, the military did not deploy any assets to secure U.S. personnel in Benghazi during the hours the consulate and the annex were under attack. I find it implausible that the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, the Commander of U.S. Africa Command (author’s note: General Hamm) and the Commander of U.S. European Command would have ignored a direct order from the Commander in Chief.”
There’s growing evidence that US agents in Libya were at least aware of weapons and militants moving across the border. The ties between murdered U.S. Ambassador Chris Stevens and jihadist Syrian rebels are becoming more clear as it is now known that Chris Stevens was an arms dealer for the CIA and he brokered arms deals with Al-Qaeda and their affiliate rebels in both Libya and Syria. Can anyone imagine the political fallout to this President if word of this had ever leaked out? Stevens was the link between the CIA and al-Qaeda. With Stevens out of the way, the trail could grow cold and the American public would be none the wiser. This is why a rescue attempt was not permitted and this explains why two senior level officials were sacked for trying to do so.
Coup number one failed.
I asked the question of my best sources if we would see another military coup of this type in the near future. I was told “no” for two reasons.
1. The people are too dumbed down to support the military in such an action and no revolution can succeed without the popular support of the people and that support is not adequate in the present political climate.
2. Yes, there will be another coup, but it will be another coup of opportunity, not a coup of planning from scratch. I was also told that any coup will result in a civil war between dissident military forces, forces remaining loyal to the administration and against DHS and its foreign troop allies stationed at places like Ft. Carson. I was also told by my sources that any coup would take place within an embedded crisis in order to justify moving militarily. The coup would be short and would go for the jugular, meaning a move on key administration agencies, facilities and the White House.

Coup Number Two Is Another Coup of Opportunity

 .
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I will cut right to the chase, all the evidence points to a coming military coup. I have long believed that the military troop and equipment movements has far exceeded the operational needs of Jade Helm.
I have previously reported that the Navy has been involved in an unprecedented six  year war game.
An unheard of six year war game.
An unheard of six year war game.
Since 2009, the Navy has been in war mode, why? What do they know that we do not? At first, I thought this was a safety measure against an EMP attack. I now know that Navy, the branch of the military, that is not under the control of the Obama administration, is in stand down mode against this President. I have previously reported that they refuse to surrender their nuclear launch codes for their submarines which is why the administration has provided sub tracking surveillance capabilities to our enemies and potential partners in an United Nations takeover of the country if a coup were to transpire.
There are more curious things going on with regard to Jade Helm such as the movement of full scale combat divisions as we have seen out of Fort Carson and other military bases as well.
Fort Carson has been emptied out as the troops and equipment have been rolled out across Pinon Canyon destroying the land of private ranchers.  the only operational troops that remain at Ft. Carson are the Russians.
Fort Carson has been emptied out as the troops and equipment have been rolled out across Pinon Canyon destroying the land of private ranchers. the only operational troops that remain at Ft. Carson are the Russians. These are combat operations not dissident extractions and martial law preparations.

I have no doubt that Jade Helm is a dissident extraction and martial law operation. However, the scope of the troop movements and the movement of large military equipment is out of proportion to martial law. This has nagged at me for 3 months.
On Friday, I had begun to conclude that Jade Helm could be used like Judo from the existing military to be boomeranged back on an enemy (i.e. the administration and their foreign lackey military forces stationed on many of our military bases).
Now, if these massive troop movements are indicative of a battlefield action, we can safely assume that the conflict will be domestic. The dots are beginning to connect.

What Deep Cover Military-Related Sources Are Saying

I was once told by one of my most trusted sources that if an operation was ongoing, I would not be told about it so as to not compromise the operation. However, if for some reason I come to believe that we could be thrust into a civil war, I will say something because so many civilian lives are at stake.
My stern warning to everyone is to prepare and prepare now for the shut down of essential resources. Also, be prepared to defend your resources and yourselves. There will be unpredictable turns in what could be coming.

Conclusion

I asked my two best sources if a coup was in the works and if Jade Helm was being used as the cover for this plan?
Answer from both sources: Crickets Chirping……..
Second question: Will Jade Helm be used for anything other than dissident roundups, gun confiscation and martial law implementation?
Answer from both sources: Crickets Chirping….
I asked a follow up question: Do I need to go dark at this time and not write about my suspicions?
Answer from both sources:  No!
The crew of the Last Ship.
The crew of the Last Ship.
last shipI used to write and teach statistics courses. I understand how when less than 2% of the population votes, a winner can be accurately predicted with less than a 5% chance of being wrong. My sample size is much larger than 2% and, unscientifically, I feel it in my bones, Jade Helm and other soon-to-be military operations are going to be used to thwart what Jade Helm has planned for the American people. Will they succeed? I think the odds are long that our military will prevail on our soil. However, the Navy is a different matter and I think it is likely that they are the people’s last line of defense.
We also know that Hollywood loves to use predictive programming. The TNT hit series, the Last Ship, is predicting exactly what is occurring with regard to the Navy. The Last Ship is the last bastion of defense against a virus that wiped out 80% of humanity and the nefarious forces of evil that have sprung up in the midst of this crisis.
All hell is breaking loose.

Credit to Common Sense




Things That You Should Do Before The Coming Deadly Crisis


What a Prepper Should Do Around The House
The best preparation for tomorrow is doing something today.
When we’ll have no running water, no extra food, no electricity… then we’ll truly understand this old saying… the hard way. Or we can make sure that our houses offer a decent level of protection.

Install a Rain Water Collector or a Rain Filter Barrel

filter barrelYou may choose to store water for gardening or for drinking. For gardening, rainwater is, naturally, best unfiltered. But, for household use, you can make an easy auto-filter using a barrel. Click here if you want to make this 100-year-old filter in a barrel.
The filter may be set in the cellar and used only for drinking water. Or it may be used in time of drought for filtering stagnant water, which would otherwise be unpalatable, for the use of stock. This also makes a good cider filter if you want to make vinegar (Read – Making Raw Apple Cider Vinegar at Home).
This will stop you having to spend more money time and energy into a filtration system.

Build a Can Storage Rotation System

wall hanging food rotatorVerify the self-life of your canned goods on a regular basis and learn how to tell when your canned goods become spoiled.
You can verify your canned goods even easier with a can rotator and you’ll always make sure you’re opening the first one to expire (first can in the column – easy).
A can rotator is also a space saver, especially those hanged on the wall.
Disorganization is one of the most common mistakes the new prepper makes. A lack of a real rotation system means the oldest can on hand may not be the first to be use. There are a lot of other woodworking projects that may help you prep a lot more efficient.

Start a Home Defense Plan Including Some Smart Protection Systems

obstaclesIt is generally believed that a good defense position can hold against an enemy with 10 times the numbers of the defender. (same guns)
Being a single person defending a house, you should have this goal in mind: to withstand the attack of 10 armed street-smart looters. I’m saying “street-smart” because they’ll probably also have a plan… they may surround your house… or maybe they’ll attack at night or when you least expect it… or maybe they’ll set your house on fire, etc.
Without a good defense plan, you’re doomed! Here’s what preppers did during the Baltimore riots (Video Ad).
When setting up your home defenses keep in mind the military term OCOKA which stands for:
  1. Observation and fields of fire
  2. Cover and Concealment
  3. Obstacles
  4. Key Terrain
  5. Avenues of Approach
Following these five key principles, you will greatly improve your security and survivability. This is one of the things that I’ve learned from a well-known army officer vet Steve Walker, for whom I have all the respect in the world. Watch his video and learn some fast-tips about protecting your home in time of war or social chaos.

Get Seeds From Your Plants

Seeds PrepperThis is a very important technique that needs to be honed and is essential to the continued survival of your plants and garden.  Seed collection varies from plant to plant and type of edible vegetable.  For example there will be differences in how you preserve and collect seeds from tomatoes, sweet pepper or wheat.
There are too many things to say on this subject. There are a few good articles on the internet if you are interested in post-apocalyptic gardening; no science fiction, just self-sufficiency.
Most of these things can be learned only by reading and practicing. Most of the times reading alone is not enough.

Get to Know Your Neighbors

At the best of times this is a good idea, but of course this will be useful in terms of if you both have skills that can be beneficial to you both (maybe he’s a Medic or a Marine).
Most of the times your neighbor is your friend. In case of a crisis you can start a small community based on mutual interest. Maybe you won’t have to defend your house 360 degrees.
Plus… when it’ll be no hyper active police, and when you’ll be outnumbered… it’s nice to have a “close” friend (literally) ready to help you.
Don’t think he’ll help you? If he’s smart, he’ll better help you… because he’ll be next anyway. In my opinion the community is the key to survival.

Drill a Well or Install a Water Storage Tank

Water-tankA “prepper house” should draw water from its own well rather than relying on a city water system.
You should make sure to fill up empty clear containers with drinkable water by whichever filtration or purification system works for you (including the barrel filter).  For example something like a Brita system or boiling/distilling.  In essence he water ready at any time as it is singularly the most important resource that is necessary to promote survival.
Don’t want to drill a wheel? Check out the H2O Dynamo – a device that produces water for your home (and also has a water storage tank).

Build a Root Cellar

root_cellarIf you don’t have a root cellar yet, then you should consider building one.
Root-cellaring is a saving technique for ordinary winter storage of fresh, raw, whole vegetables and fruits that have not been processed to increase their keeping quality.
The root cellar is a way to hold these foods for several months after their normal harvest in a cold, rather moist environment that does not allow them to freeze or to complete their natural cycle to decomposition in the fall.
Understand the elements that make up a Root Cellar which circle around Humidity, Ventilation and temperature.  If these element are adhered to, a root cellar can be built by using any viable technique.
There are a variety of building materials that can be used that include stone, concrete cinder blocks, logs and so on.
But recently I’ve discovered an even easier method using earth-bags (and cheaper). If you use earth-bags, please tie them together very tight with barbwire between bags.

Secure Your Living Space From Natural Disasters

natural disasterDepending on where you’re living you may want to consider implementing some level of protection against hurricanes, tornadoes, earthquakes, wildfires or floods.
Making sure that tables and sofa’s etc. are nailed down so as to protect the larger objects in the home from damage and from damaging people around them.  Making sure that loose objects such as paining’s or vases and similar objects are secured to the best of your ability without making them too much of an eyesore. If you don’t already have one, buy a fire extinguisher.
A secondary stocking space in case your first is compromised. Example: a flood may compromise your supplies in the root cellar, but not the ones in the rooftop.

Make a Faraday Cage

Some people talk about EMP’s like they were talking about science fiction. They look at me like I’m crazy.
Well if I’m nuts, then why does the Army prepares for this? Recently, NORAD has moved its communication equipment back to its nuclear Cold War-era bunker under the Cheyenne Mountain because this base is EMP hardened.
To avoid a total collapse every American should have some EMP hardened equipment or at least a Faraday Cage to protect the most important survival electronics. Here are some Faraday cages that you an make at home… and the most important electronics that you should keep safe, in the cage.

Make Room in Your Garage to Store Gas

fuel storeAnother essential is to keep a few gallons of gasoline in the garage or anywhere away from the house and from the sun.
You’ll power a generator or your car… either way, fuel is an INVESTMENT! Gas price will rise for sure.
Just make sure that the container is safe for this and that it keeps the gas airtight.  For example plastic containers that seal well are always good ideas.

Install a Back Up Power Source

Mounting-Solar-PanelsThe mechanism that you want to install depends on where you live. You can use solar, wind, water power or a generator.
Don’t know what’s financially best for you? Read this article and find out.
If you can use solar panels for part or all of your electrical needs it would go a long way towards making you completely self-sufficient and living with a sufficient amount of comforts in the form off electricity.
With sparing use it is possible to live completely off of solar energy but more than likely it will be a combination of eatery and solar power that will allow you to operate your electrical equipment.
Related: DIY Back-up Generator (Video Ad)

Build a Hideout For Your Valuables or For Your Family

Safe-Room-Plan-hideoutCash and gold are a good idea to have but it is necessary to ensure that these items area safe.  Make sure that valuables are in a safe or a storage facility that is difficult to reach into as these items while trying to survive become ever more important.
If you have a useless space in your house, you may want to turn it into a super hideout (see picture). Click here if you’re interested in building a secret bookcase door.
If your family has a food storage of 2 months or more, you might want to consider the potential risks associated with others knowing about it.
Or the safe room could be your root cellar. The weak point on that structure would be the ventilation system. In order to conceal your root cellar, you’ll probably need to hide your exit pipe or to extend your ventilation system up through the walls of your house and to the roof, thus appearing as part of your house’s vents and pipes, hiding in plain sight.

Build a Medical Survival Kit

First Aid Kits are one of those preparedness items that people often neglect. Unfortunately, they don’t seem to get the same attention that things like survival knives, guns and bug out bags get (Source). But if you think about it, in a crisis… diseases are the no 1 killer.
Antibiotics, penicillin and a few other essentials like iodine, gauzes and bandages will go a long way to ensure that inevitable accidents or simple colds do not become fatal. Here are the only 4 antibiotics that you you’ll need when SHTF.
Splints, scissors and painkillers would also be of good use as one never know what sort of ailments or accidents will happen in the course of survival.

Build a Fireplace

FireplaceWhy? Just so you can provide heat in a low-tech fashion, and because you don’t want to rely entirely on fuel, grid or other generators that may fail in a crisis.
Instead, anybody can cut and burn woods… just like our ancestors did.
Plus… it also provides light in one room.
Plus… you can cook in-house when there’ll be no electricity.
Plus … it’s a cool place to sit by in the winter.

Start a Small Medicinal Garden

Medicina GardenWouldn’t it be nice if you could walk out into your backyard and find the medicine you need growing right there, ready to be picked and used to treat someone in your family?
A few days ago I made a 72 square-feet medicinal garden plan (see picture) that you might want to see.
All plants have different therapeutic actions, such as anti-inflammatory, fighting fever, for heart failure, a sedative, etc… basically for anything.

Preserve Part of The Food That You Produce

food preservationDrying, cooling, freezing, salting, smoking, pickling, canning… you have a lot of methods to choose from.
Recently drying has become more popular, but let’s not forget about a few old methods like burring food in a barrel (see picture) or turning meat into Pemmican balls.
If you have a dehydrator, you are likely already putting it to work making dried eggs, fruits, meat, etc.
Isn’t it nice when you know how what goes into your food? Maybe more importantly what doesn’t go into it, such as chemicals.

Insulate Your Attic and Turn It Into a Place To Keep Supplies

Attic Saving EnergyMore heating and cooling goes through the roof in most improperly insulated homes than you’d think!
An efficient exhaust venting at the top of the roof (see picture) will remove the warm air in summer keeping a cool, dry and dark… just perfect for storing supplies.
And in winter it reduces the humidity by stopping the condense on inner walls (caused by the snow on the roof). Here are two pictures that explain this better than me: in the summer and in the winter.
Generally, a well insulated house will  reduce reliance on both air conditioning and heating systems.
Plus… poor insulation can cause your power bill to be higher than it needs to be, so taking the time to ensure your home is properly insulated can save you some money. Think of this as an investment. Yes you’ll spend a few bucks today, but on the long run you’ll get them back and make a profit. Seal all air leaks… especially in autumn, just before winter. You can also install door sweeps.

Credit to C. Davis