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Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Middle East Region becoming less stable, more Islamist


Israel will face a more unstable, tense, and Islamist environment than in the past, Military intelligence chief Maj.-Gen. Aviv Kochavi told IDF Chief of Staff Maj.-Gen. Benny Gantz on Monday.

The comments were made during a presentation of an annual Military Intelligence evaluation.

"It will be an environment that deals with a series of crises, regional and internal, which raises the level of sensitivity of all players, and which could lead, without prior planning, to an eruption," said Kochavi.

The annual intelligence evaluation is produced by the the Research Division of Military Intelligence, and is based on intelligence gathering by the IDF and the intelligence community at large.

It is designed to create a current regional evaluation and point out strategic and operational challenges. The report will be sent to the government as well.

Last month, during a briefing to the Foreign Ministry, Kochavi estimated that Syrian President, "Bashar al-Assad will not survive the uprising, even if it takes some more time." Kochavi expressed his concern that the Golan Heights region might become a terror hotbed, similar to the Sinai Peninsula.

"Recently over ten infrastructures of deadly terror attacks were dismantled [in Sinai]," he said last month, prior to the deadly terror attack on Egyptian security personnel by al-Qaida-inspired attackers in Sinai, and their failed attempt to subsequently attack Israeli targets.

Jerusalem Post

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